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July 22 • 11:52 PM
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A perfect storm brews for Dems



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July 30, 2008
There's a lot riding on the results of the Tues., Aug. 5 primary election.

If history holds true, precious few Lapeer County residents will be going to the polls; which means a very small percentage of voters will decide who is elected to public office.

Because the county has traditionally been a Republican stronghold, the winners in the Republican primary will likely be victorious in November.

In particular, the Republican winner in the heavily contested 82nd House race should enjoy a cakewalk to Lansing, because few county voters cross party lines.

With seven Republicans (including a few outstanding candidates) vying for the House seat, the field is so clogged that a dark horse or lesser candidate could garner sufficient votes to sneak to victory.

That individual would then face the winner of the Democratic primary in the November general election, leading to some potentially interesting scenarios.

Depending on which Republican wins in the primary, there could be a degree of backlash from some of the losers and their supporters, opening a window of opportunity for the Democratic winner.

Thus, the Democratic race also has added sig- nificance this year.

Assuming the strongest of the three Democrats wins, that candidate could have a legitimate shot (though it be long) at winning the House seat.

Undoubtedly it would require a perfect storm of opportunity and serendipity for a Democrat to win again in Lapeer County.

But the possibility exists.

E-mail Tom Wearing at: twearing@pageone-inc.com

Castle Creek
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